Rich Whitney, the Green Party candidate for governor in Illinois, is currently polling in between three and four percent in two new Victory Research polls. The first one can be viewed here, and the second one here. The first one is between the current Democratic Governor, Rich Whitney, Republican Kirk Dillard, and “Don’t Know/Undecided,” while the second poll is between the same people, with the exception that Dillard is replaced by Republican Bill Brady. Even though the primary has already been held, the race is too close to call.
Before the polls are analyzed, it should be stated that over 20 percent of the electorate falls into the “Don’t Know/Undecided” category in both polls. Since November is a long way from now, this means that it is not the most reliable poll in the world for predicting results on election day.
In the poll that includes Dillard, Whitney’s overall support is at 3.1 percent. Out of all of the categories of people, he gets the most support – 6.1 percent – from independents. This is followed by over 60 year olds at 4.8 percent, and then 18-30 year olds at 4.7 percent. The least support for Whitney comes from the “collars” region of the state, where only 1.1 percent of voters support the Green candidate; this is followed by Hispanic support of 1.5 percent and political moderates’ support of 1.6 percent. Interestingly, although the Green Party is often perceived as being to the left of the Democratic Party, almost a full percentage point more among conservatives support Whitney than among moderates.
In the other poll, which has Brady as the Republican candidate, Whitney does slightly better, drawing 3.9 percent of the voters. Once again, Whitney is supported by 6.1 percent of independents. However, the support of older voters goes down significantly to only 2.8 percent, while the support of young voters stays consistent at 4.7 percent. 4.9 percent of self-declared liberals support Whitney, as well as 4.8 percent of “downstate” voters. Whitney’s lowest numbers also stay put, with 1.5 percent of Hispanics choosing him over the other candidates. However, that number is far lower than the support of any other group, with the next lowest being 2.1 percent from Republicans.
H/T to DC Political Report.

6 responses so far ↓
1 Ross Levin // Feb 11, 2010 at 10:36 pm
Also worth knowing is that in December Rasmussen had two polls where “other” polled 10% and 13%, but I don’t think they included Whitney’s name.
2 Trent Hill // Feb 11, 2010 at 10:49 pm
Ross,
That’s interesting. It’s huge that they’re including Whitney in polls this early.
3 WalterGPW // Feb 12, 2010 at 1:33 am
I actually think that Whitney is polling much higher.
According to a commenter in this article, the pollster (Rodney McCulloch) who headed that poll was caught up in petitioning fraud.
http://www.chicagocurrent.com/articles/31100-Quinn-leads-Brady-Dillard-in-poll
Daily Herald article about McCulloch: http://www.dailyherald.com/story/?id=161149
4 Ross Levin // Feb 12, 2010 at 9:27 am
I guess we’ll have to see how he does in other polls.
5 Third Party Revolution // Feb 14, 2010 at 9:22 pm
Who cares what the polls say, he will do better than he did in the last election.
6 Don Lake .......... I see ya point // Feb 14, 2010 at 11:03 pm
the feed back I am getting from my homies back in the heart land [SOUTHERN Illinois] is pretty positive ………
[supposedly a lot of battle fatigue from the home front per 'government as usual'!]
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