Comments on: Obama campaign manager says Barr could swing election

By: Peter Orvetti

Peter Orvetti — Fri, 27 Jun 2008 06:30:04 +0000

I think there’s a good chance Obama could win the popular vote by a wide margin while losing the electoral college, if McCain wins narrow victories in Florida and Ohio, which is very possible. We hear a lot about Al Gore’s 544,000-vote plurality in 2000, but less about the fact that, if Kerry has received 119,000 more votes in Ohio in ’04, he would have been elected president while still losing the popular vote by about 2,893,000. It’s very possible Obama could outdistance McCain by a couple million votes and still lose.

By: Peter Orvetti

Peter Orvetti — Fri, 27 Jun 2008 06:26:22 +0000

As for Alaska being not much of an “electoral prize”, if Gore had somehow won it in 2000 (which of course was pretty unlikely), he would have won the electoral vote 270-268. (I’m guessing that D.C. defector would not have withheld her vote in that instance.)

By: Fred Church Ortiz

Fred Church Ortiz — Fri, 27 Jun 2008 02:21:42 +0000

That’s the rule paulie, and don’t think I’m ignoring the plain facts. I think if November came tomorrow Obama would take 60% easy. They haven’t got anything to stick to him yet, though.

By: paulie cannoli

paulie cannoli — Fri, 27 Jun 2008 02:19:15 +0000

economy circling the drain + lies leading to unpopular war exposed = change of party occupying oval orifice

By: Mike Theodore

Mike Theodore — Fri, 27 Jun 2008 02:11:30 +0000

Especially since the war with Iran goes and the flag furling begins. McCain will project himself as the national Commander “Big Brother” like guy to fight off the hordes of evil.
We’ve begun a blockade, BTW.

By: Fred Church Ortiz

Fred Church Ortiz — Fri, 27 Jun 2008 02:00:16 +0000

Obama will win. It wonâ€™t be close.

As of today, I’d agree. But it’s risky business to underestimate the democrats’ ability to lose an election.

By: paulie cannoli

paulie cannoli — Fri, 27 Jun 2008 01:56:53 +0000

Obama will win. It wonâ€™t be close.

Yep.

By: Mike Theodore

Mike Theodore — Thu, 26 Jun 2008 20:23:14 +0000

I think they are all under the assumption that this will be a close election. Obama will win. It won’t be close.
It doesn’t matter what we do. What we do in an Obama Administration is what we’ve done in every administration.

By: richardwinger

richardwinger — Thu, 26 Jun 2008 15:51:31 +0000

Unfortunately, Cynthia McKinney won’t be on the ballot in Georgia, although she will file to have her write-ins counted in Georgia. Georgia is one of 5 states in which Nader could never get on the ballot either. No statewide petitions have succeeded in Georgia since 2000, when Pat Buchanan got on.

By: yaktivist

yaktivist — Thu, 26 Jun 2008 14:29:18 +0000

I don’t know how she will do in Alaska, but that other former GA US Rep running for President is close to winning the Green Party Nomination, and should be able to compete with Obama for votes in the district that sent her to Congress a few times.

Obama’s recent flops regarding FISA and campaign finance might flip a few voters to McKinney or Nader.

Can’t see why McKinney isn’t picking up some of the anti-misogyny protest votes of Clinton supporters. CongressMEN with the same radical positions McKinney holds were not abandoned by The Democratic Party, and it is doubtful they would be viewed too harshly if they got into a minor physical confrontation with a police officer (they might even be affectionately seen as “gutsy”)

Still could be a few more big surprises this political season.

By: G.E.

G.E. — Thu, 26 Jun 2008 11:38:17 +0000

Alaska: A real electoral prize.

By: paulie cannoli

paulie cannoli — Thu, 26 Jun 2008 08:36:02 +0000

Wishful thinking, perhaps…

In fact, Barr may actually help McCain.

That is, he may cause more people to vote who otherwise would not have who will end up voting for McCain than he will take votes that would otherwise have gone to McCain. Also, he will get some votes that would have likely gone to Obama: in fact, at least one recent poll shows close to even split on those.

With or without Barr, I think the Democrats will win – unless the election gets cancelled. The chances of that just went up, since as everyone knows, only Bushes and Clintons get to potus anymore.